
- Official Report:
- Earth Climate is Beyond Repair
Americans may still have their heads in the sand, but
one Russian ecologist warns that global warming can no
longer be stopped. The Earth is heating up and he
believes we have dilly-dallied too long. There is
nothing we can now do to reverse a looming devastation
of our planet's delicate ecology.
A recent issue of the Russian publication Pravda
quotes Viktor Danilov-Danilyan, leader of the Russian
Ecological Union, as threatening that the planet is
heading for a warm-up that will eventually make life
as we know it uninhabitable. He said that all we can
do at this point is work to "diminish climatic changes
caused by civilization's negative effect.
"It is too late to speak of preventing antropogenic
climatic changes," Danilov-Danilyan said during a
press conference held in Moscow.
He urged the world to work to reduce the human effect
on climate-forming factors and especially: stop the
destruction of ecological systems and cut the release
of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere.
"Man has unbalanced the climatic system; it is looking
for a new balance, and the system's characteristics
during a transition period are always much wider than
in the state of balance," Danilov-Danilyan told
reporters.
He warned that climatic changes will affect all
nations of the world.
The World Meteorological Organization reports that the
air temperature on the planet could increase by two to
six degrees by the end of the century, which
Danilov-Danilyan says will have catastrophic
consequences.
The Russian ecologist appears to be the first in the
scientific community to make this dramatic conclusion
public, although he is not the first to think it.
Renowned physicist Stephen Hawking, in a speech last
year in Edinburgh, England, said he fears global
warming or an "accident" might wipe out all life on
Earth. In another appearance during CNN's Larry King
Live, Hawking said he believes the planet is in danger
of reaching a point in which the heating begins to
intensify without additional help from human produced
waste. "The atmosphere might get hotter and hotter
until (the Earth) will be like Venus with boiling
sulfuric acid" and uninhabitable, Hawking warned.
In their book The Coming Global Superstorm, radio
personalities Whitley Strieber and Art Bell described
a complex series of deadly Earth changes that they
believe are already in progress. They say these
changes threaten to turn this planet into a hot,
barren place where we can no longer live.
Strieber, in a story that recently appeared on his web
site, noted the following:
"Dr. Robert Watson of the UN's Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change is saying that the earth's
temperature is rising twice as fast as thought ten
years ago. In another story, scientists are saying
that methane is building up in the atmosphere for the
same reason it did 14,000 years ago, in an event that
(we) believe resulted in the last superstorm. At the
same time, Nature Magazine has published a paper
saying that ocean currents are slowing down, and other
scientists have announced that climate change is
likely to be sudden."
If they are right, Strieber said we should expect a
dramatic warming during the next few years. He said
temperatures in the tropics could exceed 130 degrees
Fahrenheit, forcing a human exodus north and south
into more temperate areas. Also fierce storms can be
expected to continue to ravage Europe and North
America, increasing in violence with each passing
year. Excessive flooding will be more and more common
all over the world.
There is dramatic evidence that all of the above
events are happening even as I write these words.
Super localized storms, with straight winds clocked at
100 miles-per-hour and higher, are more and more
common. Areas that normally see moderate rainfall are
parched. Forest fires are ravaging large areas of the
planet due to abnormally dry conditions. Some parts of
the globe that are usually arid are getting flooded
with too much rain. Flowers are blooming in barren
desert areas of the Southwest.
The year 1998 holds the distinction as the warmest
year in recorded history. The 1990s were acclaimed the
warmest decade and contained the warmest three years
of the century. The 12 warmest years of the 20th
Century occurred since 1983. The average temperature
of the world increased by 0.6 degrees centigrade
during the 20th Century. The planet is now heating by
a fifth of a degree every decade.
These changes may not seem significant when we live in
areas where temperatures can rise from extremes of
minus degrees below zero in winter, to 100 degrees in
the summer. But the overall temperature of the planet,
which remains relatively constant, is extremely
important to keep the delicate balance of nature
intact. For nearly all of human history, we have
enjoyed the moderate weather necessary for the
subsistence of life.
Now this moderation of weather seems to be going away.
According to a report on the Web's Far Out News, "the
worldwide scientific consensus says that warming
during this century could be as high as six degrees
Celsius. That means that the Earth will have gotten
hotter within a hundred years than it was colder
during the last ice age. This is known as the
worst-case scenario and is the stuff of nightmares."
The story noted that during the last meeting of the
United Nations Inter-governmental Panel on Climate
Change (IPCC), a report based on statistics known as
of 1995 indicated a worst-case scenario of three
degrees warming, with a best scenario of slightly less
than two degrees. "So the worst just doubled," the
story said.
Since that meeting, the article said, a scientist at
the United Kingdom's Hadley Centre, determined that
other elements than carbon dioxide emissions can come
into play after the planet gets warm enough.
As the planet heats, the scientists warn, the tropical
forests start dying and eventually turn that part of
the world into desert. All the carbon in the trees and
soil would be added with that already present in the
atmosphere, pushing temperatures up about another two
degrees. Also millions of tons of methane, also a
potent greenhouse gas, would be released from the
world's oceans as they heat.
If Danilov-Danilyan is correct, the Hawking scenario
of a world heating system getting out of control may
become reality in our lifetime. That means many of us
may live to experience indescribable horrors.
We have only ourselves to blame for this nightmare. We
humans have destroyed the spaceship Earth. And even
now, with these kinds of dire warnings, American
industrial leaders prefer to continue on as if nothing
is wrong. Even with 165 nations recently approving the
rules of the 1997 Kyoto Protocol, an international
attempt to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, the United
States is not among them. President George Bush said
during his campaign for office that he did not believe
there was enough scientific evidence to support global
warming. Now he says he won't go along with it because
the Kyoto agreement would be too costly and unfair to
American industry.
Under the circumstances, these arguments are
unacceptable.
Visit the author's website at www.jamesdonahue.com
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